Unfunded Pension Liabilities: Should Lawmakers Worry?
by Christine Stuart | Jun 15, 2010 5:00am
(6) Comments | Commenting has expired
Posted to: State Budget
Recent reports single out Connecticut as one of the wimpiest states when it comes to funding its pension liabilities and retiree benefits, but is it something lawmakers should be worried about?
A recent report by two University of Connecticut economists says it is, but one union official gives their paper a “C-“ for being incomplete, while one lawmaker says it shows the state should be doing more and yet another believes it’s still on the right path.
A report published in the summer edition of The Connecticut Economy by Peter Barth and Arthur Wright concluded the state‘s unfunded pension liabilities along with its unfunded retirement benefits, will create “serious long-term consequences for economic growth and jobs, especially through effects on business location decisions.”
“Yielding to temptation under budget duress to reduce or postpone payments meant to strengthen the funding of retiree obligations will only compound the problems,” Barth and Wright wrote. “In effect, doing that is filling current-spending holes with material dug from future-spending holes.”
The two economists based their report partially on information the Office of Policy and Management which says the Nutmeg states’ unfunded retiree liabilities jumped to $42.6 billion on June 30, 2008. That’s a 22.1 percent increase from 2006. And the rise was despite the $2 billion in bonds injected into the Teachers Retirement System in 2007.
“The prime source of the boost was, of course, the financial market meltdown. But more retirees (in part due to retirement incentives) and rising health care costs doubtless contributed,” Barth and Wright wrote.
Connecticut’s unfunded liability for state retiree pensions and benefits totals $7,395 for every man, woman and child in the state, based on 2009 Census figures. Compared with more other states, Nutmeggers’ liability is 2.6 times New York’s, 3.2 times Massachusetts’, and 4.4 times California’s.
“The segue in this riff: Can anyone think of an area of Connecticut’s state budget that is ripe for cuts?” Barth and Wright wrote.
Bob Rinker, executive director of CSEA/SEIU Local 2001, said the report ignores the changes made in 2009 to the State Employees Bargaining Agent Coalition agreement.
He said under the 2009 SEBAC agreement all new employees contribute 3 percent of their salary to health insurance and all employees with the five years of state service contribute 3 percent until they reach 10 years of service.
“There’s a lot of money coming in to reduce the unfunded liabilities,” Rinker said Monday. He said the $26 million in unfunded post retiree benefit cited in the report is reduced substantially by those two measures.
He said changes made in 1997 also reduce the liability by creating a Tier II and Tier IIa retirement plan. The Tier I employees, who receive the richest retiree benefits, are dying and new employees are coming in and paying more into the system, he said. There were also provisions added to move the age employees received their benefits closer to the age of Medicare eligibility.
Over fiscal year’s 2009, 2010 and 2011 state employees agreed to allow the state to delay $314 million in pension contributions to help it close the state budget deficit.
“We agreed to some forgiveness because we didn’t want to see cuts in services,” Rinker said.
House Minority Leader Lawrence Cafero, R-Norwalk, said he disagreed with the decision to delay the pension contributions.
“We rejected that and fully funded it in every budget we proposed,” Cafero said Monday.
He said he doesn’t understand why the state employee unions would agree to allowing the state to balance the budget on the backs of retired workers. He said the state should pass a constitutional amendment which forces it to fund the pensions at a specific level.
“We fundamentally disagree with that simplistic solution to the problem,” Rinker said of the suggestion for a constitutional amendment. He said it ignores the fact that the pension is something negotiated.
The contract which includes the current state employees health and pension benefits doesn’t expire until 2017.
House Speaker Chris Donovan, D-Meriden, agreed with Rinker. He said this movement to get rid of pensions and replace them with private 401k type investing tools “doesn’t seem like a good idea.”
“Movement away from pensions makes people less secure,” Donovan said.
He said if the report doesn’t point out that these investments are made over long periods of time then it’s not accurate. He said if the mortgage came due on someone’s home over night they would have a hard time paying it, which is why mortgages like pensions are spread out over 30 years.
“Forces try to put down pensions, but without them middle America would be lost and worried about their futures,” Donovan said. “We want to be constructive and make sure seniors are secure.”
Barth and Wright conclude that state lawmakers have three broad choices when it comes to solving the $42.6 billion unfunded pension liability.
The state can increase its contributions, a solution which the two conclude “would face strong headwinds—more like head-gales.” They also suggest reducing future costs, which they admit is a direction the state has been moving in for years, however, they described the movement as being at a “glacial pace.”
And last but not least the two suggest the state could seek a higher rate of return by making riskier investments. Admittedly, “the problem with this ploy is that higher investment returns are always associated with higher risks,” Barth and Wright wrote.
“To end on a political note—for that’s ultimately where the solutions have to come from—we repeat Wright’s question from the last issue (on the State’s budget crisis): Why are there so many candidates for Governor this election year?”
(6) Comments
posted by: JAM | June 15, 2010 11:17am
What Donovan can’t, or doesn’t want to, understand is that these unfunded pension liabilities already have an 8% annual return built. The reality is that over the past 7 years the pension funds have returned just over 7%, and just over 5% for the past 5. To grow your way out of these liabilities would require returns that are simply unrealistic.
And the state has little or no money set aside for employee retirement health care so there’s nothing to invest or get a return on.
posted by: Todd Peterson | June 18, 2010 3:48pm
JAM is correct and, yes, this is a big time problem. There will have to be many corrections on all levels of government in coming years. States that act responsibly will have a chance. Those who don’t will face a permanant decline.
posted by: GoatBoyPHD | June 20, 2010 9:08pm
States are moving aggressivley to cap pensions to keep them under 6 figures, to increase the retirement age to 65 or 67, to increase health care contribs, and to eliminate gimmicks like calcualting over time or double dipping for pension benefits and usig career F/T salary average instead.
Up next: defined benefit plans.
The cost of underfunding is going to get ugly IMHO.
posted by: CT Jim | June 21, 2010 6:34am
Goat Boy,
There are plenty of studies out there that shows that defined contribution are just as costly if not more costly thaned defined benifit plans and if you want to eliminate six figure pensions that will only take money away from Rowland and Rell appointees alot of whom were Republican legislators giving high income no work jobs to get those six figure pensions.
posted by: GoatBoyPHD | June 21, 2010 7:56am
Jim,
3% to 5% matching 401K plans are present year expenses. There’s no hiding or avoiding it as a pay as you go system if set up correctly. There’s no future obligation.
The caps on pensions aren’t party specific.
posted by: CT Jim | June 21, 2010 9:14am
So let me see goat boy, first through out the 3% nobody would accept that with the low rates of return.
so we have to look at a matching rate of 7.5% to start, so you fixed rate pensions could cost the state between $500 and $700 milllion a year with no option ever to skip a payment and make it up during better times not to mention the fact that as soon as the retiree ran out of the money they would qualify for state aid for housing, heating, perscription drugs and a whole slew of other payments from the state.
So where is your savings.
besides until their is TRUE Wall Street reform that holds Wall street accountable for their practices no should invest anything in a defined contribution plan.
What happened to all the people that lost their 401K in 2008 and are forced to work ten more years because of it.
Your plan makes no sense and will be rejected immediately.
as for party determination I would love for those yankee institute guys to let us know which party gets the lionsshare of the high pensions.
